Channing Tatum‘s raucous R-rated comedy Magic Mike XXL opened to $9.3 million at the Wednesday box office, enough to beat Terminator: Genisys and shimmy up the pole to top the North American box office.

But both films are pacing to do less business than expected over the long Fourth of July holiday, meaning that titans Inside Out and Jurassic World could win the three-day weekend unless the landscape changes and Magic Mike XXL or Genisys pops.

Magic Mike XXL has far less at stake that Terminator: Genisys, having cost Warner Bros. less than $15 million to make.